Link[1]
Author: Robert Kagan Cited by: David Price 7:02 PM 26 April 2010 GMT
Citerank: (20) 58834How should the US deal with Iran if economic sanctions don't work?How do you deal with a country that is probably not going to be affected by economic sanctions? 8FFB597, 58849Motivate Chinese support for sanctionsThe threat of military action against Iran might encourage China to support sanctions against Iran.1198CE71, 58852Potential scenarios?8FFB597, 58868Right now everybody is worse off109FDEF6, 58874Vacuum may be less dangerous than failed negotiations13EF597B, 58878All the conflicts of the Middle East are so intertwined now1198CE71, 97305How should the US deal with Iran if economic sanctions don't work?How do you deal with a country that is probably not going to be affected by economic sanctions? 8FFB597, 97344Potential scenarios?8FFB597, 97418Motivate Chinese support for sanctionsThe threat of military action against Iran might encourage China to support sanctions against Iran.1198CE71, 97482Capability to have a weapon is the same as having a weapon13EF597B, 98391Vacuum may be less dangerous than failed negotiations13EF597B, 98397Right now everybody is worse off109FDEF6, 98398All the conflicts of the Middle East are so intertwined now1198CE71, 148972Vacuum may be less dangerous than failed negotiations13EF597B, 148978Right now everybody is worse off109FDEF6, 148979All the conflicts of the Middle East are so intertwined now1198CE71, 150340How should the US deal with Iran if economic sanctions don't work?How do you deal with a country that is probably not going to be affected by economic sanctions? 8FFB597, 150379Potential scenarios?8FFB597, 150454Motivate Chinese support for sanctionsThe threat of military action against Iran might encourage China to support sanctions against Iran.1198CE71, 150519Capability to have a weapon is the same as having a weapon13EF597B URL:
|
Excerpt / Summary We do have the IAEA making pretty strong statements about Iran's intent. There is a fair degree of international agreement -- at least certainly in the West -- about what Iran is up to. So I think we have to, you know, plan accordingly, and I think the administration is. And I think the president is right not to try to parse those issues. I think the capability to have a weapon is going to turn out to be the same as having a weapon. And I'm not sure we should count on Iran stopping short of getting a weapon. I think they want to create as much of a fait accompli as they can, and that's what we have to confront (inaudible) RUBIN: I'm going to have to disagree with Bob on that. I think the difference between having enough material and having a test or a brandishing of a nuclear weapon, declaring yourself a nuclear weapons state, I don't think the Iranians get much more out of that, and they get a whole lot of pain as a result of it. So my prediction would be that they're going to be capable, they're not going to test, they're not going to declare themselves a nuclear weapons state, because I think if they did, then a lot of people who have been reluctant to use military force might change their mind. |