Nuclear Deterrence must be infallible
It would be reasonable to use a system whose breakdown would be infinitely destructive if and only if the chance of its breakdowndown is zero.

A global nuclear war must be assumed to be the result of any single use, since (1) first strike theory demands that NW must not be hit in their silos, and (b) a killing frenzy mentality will prevail in the bunkers of the decision makers.

A global nuclear war would mean the end of the present world civilisation.

Deterren

Here is a link to 11 events where computer and human error nearly led to nuclear war http://greenerblog.blogspot.com/2015/10/11-instances-where-nuclear-deterrence.html

There is a real chance of nuclear war. All it takes is a combination of some or all of these factors: political tension, military engagement, human error in the command structure and in the group-think in the decision makers, human malice and a computer error  for the fateful decision to be made.

Once one missile is launched, it must be assumed that all available WMDs will be fired, because of the "use them or lose them" imperative. It is naive to hope that reason would prevail once a nuclear exchange is started.

Since the chance of nuclear war is greater than zero, and since the results of nuclear war are unacceptable, it follows that the precursor to nuclear war, i.e. the nuclear deterrence theory, must be abandoned.

PAGE NAVIGATOR(Help)
-
Nuclear Politics »Nuclear Politics
Perspectives? »Perspectives?
States »States
(1) States with civilian and military nuclear capability »(1) States with civilian and military nuclear capability
NPT members »NPT members
United States »United States
US Nuclear Posture Review Report – April 2010 »US Nuclear Posture Review Report – April 2010
Key objectives of US nuclear weapons policies and posture? »Key objectives of US nuclear weapons policies and posture?
(3) Maintaining strategic deterrence at reduced nuclear force levels »(3) Maintaining strategic deterrence at reduced nuclear force levels
Nuclear Deterrence must be infallible
+Commentaar (0)
+Citaten (0)
+About