Protest votes
It is well documented that incumbent governments fair worse at local and european elections. They are often used for protest votes that wouldn't be cast during a Westminster election.
From a comment from Andrew McEwan:

"Protest votes

Andrew McEwan (6/22/2009 3:07:00 PM GMT)

It is well documented that incumbent governments fair worse at local and european elections. They are often used for protest votes that wouldn't be cast during a Westminster election."
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Gordon Brown »Gordon Brown
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Tory landslide if Brown remains in office until election »Tory landslide if Brown remains in office until election
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Dismal Local and EU election results »Dismal Local and EU election results
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Dismal local and EU results will be repeated in general election »Dismal local and EU results will be repeated in general election
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Protest votes
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