Views
Graph
Explorer
Focus
Down
Load 1 level
Load 2 levels
Load 3 levels
Load 4 levels
Load all levels
All
Dagre
Focus
Down
Load 1 level
Load 2 levels
Load 3 levels
Load 4 level
Load all levels
All
Tree
SpaceTree
Focus
Expanding
Load 1 level
Load 2 levels
Load 3 levels
Down
All
Down
Radial
Focus
Expanding
Load 1 level
Load 2 levels
Load 3 levels
Down
All
Down
Box
Focus
Expanding
Down
Up
All
Down
Page ✓
Article
Outline
Document
Down
All
Canvas
Time
Timeline
Calendar
Request email digest
Past 24 hours
Past 2 days
Past 3 days
Past week
Add
Add page
Add comment
Add citation
Edit
Edit page
Delete page
Share
Link
Bookmark
Embed
Social media
Login
Member login
Register now for a free account
🔎
Human cognitive biases
Position
1
#7050
Familiar cognitive errors that afflicted everyone: investors, home buyers, lenders, regulators.
The analysis in this section draws on
Megan McArdle's blog post
on The Atlantic.com:
"How did it all happen?"
CONTEXT
(Help)
-
The Global Financial Crisis »
The Global Financial Crisis
The Global Financial Crisis☜Exploring the causes, consequences and responses to the global financial crisis. ☜F1CEB7
▲
Long-term causes of the financial crisis? »
Long-term causes of the financial crisis?
Long-term causes of the financial crisis?☜What are the long term causes of the current financial crisis?☜FFB597
■
Human cognitive biases
Human cognitive biases☜Familiar cognitive errors that afflicted everyone: investors, home buyers, lenders, regulators.☜59C6EF
●
Forms of human cognitive bias? »
Forms of human cognitive bias?
Forms of human cognitive bias?☜☜FFB597
●
Homebuyers saw rising house prices as natural order »
Homebuyers saw rising house prices as natural order
Homebuyers saw rising house prices as natural order☜Homebuyers looked at 50 years of steadily rising home prices, with few and small declines, and concluded that rising home prices were some kind of natural law.☜98CE71
●
Investors underweighted systemic risk »
Investors underweighted systemic risk
Investors underweighted systemic risk☜Investors focused on the likelihood that an individual security would underperform: not at what might happen if house prices suddenly dropped ten percent, or credit markets violently contracted.☜98CE71
●
Lenders overconfident in their ability to manage risk »
Lenders overconfident in their ability to manage risk
Lenders overconfident in their ability to manage risk☜With house prices rising steadily loan default rates fell, and lenders—overweighting recent events, looking at other people lending, and mindful of their immediate financial and competitive incentives—concluded that it was safe to continue lending.☜98CE71
●
Regulators overestimated their powers of insight and response »
Regulators overestimated their powers of insight and response
Regulators overestimated their powers of insight and response☜Regulators believed that improvements in both computer models, and in economic theory of regulation, would allow them to identify and halt any crisis before it occurred.☜98CE71
●
Cognitive Biases are constant »
Cognitive Biases are constant
Cognitive Biases are constant☜Human cognitive biases have not changed much over the last thousand years, let alone the last ten years. Therefore, they may have amplified certain aspects of the crisis, but can not be the sole explanation.☜EF597B
►
House price bubble in the US »
House price bubble in the US
House price bubble in the US☜House price bubble in the US.☜FFFACD
►
Credit-rating agencies underestimated risks »
Credit-rating agencies underestimated risks
Credit-rating agencies underestimated risks☜Credit rating agencies failed to appreicate and state the true nature and scale of the risks faced by the insititutions they were rating.☜FFFACD
Heading
Summary
Click the button to enter task scheduling information
Open
Details
Enter task details
Message text
Select assignee(s)
Due date (click calendar)
RadDatePicker
RadDatePicker
Open the calendar popup.
Calendar
Title and navigation
Title and navigation
<<
<
November 2024
>
<<
November 2024
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
44
27
28
29
30
31
1
2
45
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
46
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
47
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
48
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
49
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Reminder
No reminder
1 day before due
2 days before due
3 days before due
1 week before due
Ready to post
Copy to text
Enter
Cancel
Task assignment(s) have been emailed and cannot now be altered
Lock
Cancel
Save
Comment graphing options
Choose comments:
Comment only
Whole thread
All comments
Choose location:
To a new map
To this map
New map options
Select map ontology
Options
Standard (default) ontology
College debate ontology
Hypothesis ontology
Influence diagram ontology
Story ontology
Graph to private map
Cancel
Proceed
+Comments (
0
)
- Comments
Add a comment
Newest first
Oldest first
Show threads
+Citations (
1
)
- Citations
Add new citation
List by:
Citerank
Map
Link
[1]
How did it all happen?
Author:
Megan McArdle
Cited by:
David Price
3:04 PM 8 October 2008 GMT
URL:
http://meganmcardle.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/how_did_it_all_happen.php
Excerpt / Summary
"Another way to think about [what went wrong] is as a series of cognitive errors that afflicted everyone: investors, home buyers, lenders, regulators."
+About
- About
Entered by:-
David Price
NodeID:
#7050
Node type:
Position
Entry date (GMT):
10/8/2008 3:02:00 PM
Last edit date (GMT):
10/8/2008 3:22:00 PM
Show other editors
Incoming cross-relations:
0
Outgoing cross-relations:
2
Average rating:
0
by
0
users
x
Select file to upload