(3) The universe is not unlikely if there is a first uncaused cause
Given the contingent constituents of the universe, the existence of the universe is not unlikely under the hypothesis of a first uncaused cause (Cu): that is, ~P(U|Cu & k) ≪ 1.
Because the universe is a network of contingent causes (and therefore not uncaused or self-caused) there must be a first cause in the network of contingent causes. The reason that any contingent thing exists at all (and, in particular, the world which we are part) is that it is a contingent causal consequence of a metaphysically necessary non-contingent being, a being which itself could not have failed to exist.
CONTEXT(Help)
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Andrews/Schieber: Does the God of Christianity Exist? »Andrews/Schieber: Does the God of Christianity Exist?
The God of Christianity exists »The God of Christianity exists
The Thomistic Cosmological Argument »The Thomistic Cosmological Argument
(3) The universe is not unlikely if there is a first uncaused cause
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