Islamist movement much stronger than in Tunisia
Tunisia has a good chance (for democracy and liberalism) because of its strong middle class and weak Islamist movement. In Egypt, numbers in the latest Pew poll show: 30% like Hizbullah (66% don’t). 49% are favorable toward Hamas (48% are negative); and 20% smile (72% frown) at al-Qaida.
"Roughly speaking, one-fifth of Egyptians applaud the most extreme Islamist terrorist group, while around one-third back revolutionary Islamists abroad. This doesn’t tell us what proportion of Egyptians want an Islamist government at home, but it is an indicator.

In Egypt, 82% want stoning for those who commit adultery; 77% would like to see whippings and hands cut off for robbery; 84% favor the death penalty for a Muslim who changes his religion.

Asked if they supported “modernizers” or “Islamists,” only 27% said modernizers, while 59% said Islamists.

Is this meaningless? Last December 20, I wrote that these “horrifying figures in Egypt... one day might be cited to explain an Islamist revolution there... What this analysis also shows is that a future Islamist revolution in Egypt and Jordan is quite possible."
Immediately related elementsHow this works
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Technology: Oppressor or liberator? »Technology: Oppressor or liberator?
Country Case Studies »Country Case Studies
Revolutions in the Arab world »Revolutions in the Arab world
Egypt »Egypt
Chances for democracy and liberalism? »Chances for democracy and liberalism?
Autocracy will prevail »Autocracy will prevail
Egypt might soon begin to resemble Iran of 1979  »Egypt might soon begin to resemble Iran of 1979
Islamist movement much stronger than in Tunisia
Davos: prospect of a Facebook-enabled rise of the Muslim Brotherhood »Davos: prospect of a Facebook-enabled rise of the Muslim Brotherhood
Israel fears increased isolation if Mubarak goes »Israel fears increased isolation if Mubarak goes
Muslim Brotherhood, the only large opposition group, could take over »Muslim Brotherhood, the only large opposition group, could take over
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