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Network Modelling for Predicting International and Domestic Spread

Network Modelling Approach for Predicting the International and Domestic Spread of Emerging Infectious Disease.

  • This project aims to develop methods that a) evaluate the risk of case importation into major Canadian cities through international travel; b) detect and give early warnings to domestic spread for cities with imported cases; and c) evaluate the risk of case spread from these to other regions in Canada through domestic travel. When an emerging infectious disease kindles an epidemic outside Canada, it is crucial to estimate the rate that cases land in Canada through international travel, and identity which Canadian cities are at a high risk to see such cases, and the effectiveness of travel restrictions, isolation and quarantine may affect the rate of case importation.
  • Co-Project Investigator: Junling Ma (University of Victoria)
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