13 Phylodynamic Modelling of Infectious Diseases

In this project, we aim to develop phylodynamic and phylogeographic models to a) characterize the early spread of the epidemic that include insights into the origin, transmission potential, transmission routes, and genetic diversity of the pathogen; b) understand pathogen spread across spatiotemporal scales within and between geographical locations, and determine the factors that have driven pathogen spread.

  • The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted a myriad of opportunities and challenges in practicing public health genomics. The use of pathogen genomic data coupled with phylodynamic approaches in understanding infectious disease outbreaks has received greater attention.
  • In this project, we aim to develop phylodynamic and phylogeographic models to a) characterize the early spread of the epidemic that include insights into the origin, transmission potential, transmission routes, and genetic diversity of the pathogen; b) understand pathogen spread across spatiotemporal scales within and between geographical locations, and determine the factors that have driven pathogen spread.
  • These phylodynamic approaches utilize time-stamped pathogen genomic sequences; and associated meta-data. Overall, the project's goal is to translate pathogen surveillance into effective public health responses and interventions.

Lead: Venkata R. Duvvuri (Public Health Ontario)

Team Members: Samir Patel (Public Health Ontario), Jianhong Wu (York University)

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13 Phylodynamic Modelling of Infectious Diseases
Jianhong Wu
Covid-19
Pathogens
Venkata Duvvuri
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06 Infection Control during Mass Gathering Events
07 Antimicrobial Resistance
08 Contact tracing
09 Joint Estimation of Parameters in Outbreak Models
10 Dynamic Bifurcation and Scenario Analyses
11 Immune response, immune memory and cross-immunity
12 Pathogen Contamination and Spread Control during Food-Processing
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EOC Modeling Simulations and Exercises
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