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IPCC process, science and modelling are flawed
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Explain
⌅
Anthropogenic Climate Change
Anthropogenic Climate Change☜Mapping the causes, consequences and potential responses to climate change.☜F1CEB7
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Human impact on the Earth's climate?
Human impact on the Earth's climate?☜Is human activity changing the Earths climate? To what extent are changes in the Earths climate being driving by human behavior?☜FFB597
⌃
Case for significant anthropogenic forcing remains unclear
Case for significant anthropogenic forcing remains unclear☜The case for significant anthropogenic forcing of the climate remains unclear.☜59C6EF
■
IPCC process, science and modelling are flawed
IPCC process, science and modelling are flawed☜☜98CE71
↳
Computer models aren't reliable yet
Computer models aren't reliable yet☜Climate change predictions are based on computer models that dont yet capture the full complexity of climate dynamics; as such the computer models arent sufficiently reliable yet to be trusted.☜98CE71
↳
Key scientific measurements are subject to error
Key scientific measurements are subject to error☜Instruments show there has been some warming of the Earths surface since 1979, but the actual value is subject to large errors.☜98CE71
↳
IPCC process isn't wholly reliable
IPCC process isn't wholly reliable☜The proccess behind the IPCC reports, on which much of the case for dangerous anthropengenic climate change rests, is not wholly reliable.☜98CE71
⇤
Demand for 100% reliability is disingenuous.
Demand for 100% reliability is disingenuous.☜No human system is 100% reliable. The computer models are sufficiently reliable to indicate that we should take action to decarbonise the global economy.☜FFFACD
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Complex dynamics of Earth's climate not fully understood
Complex dynamics of Earth's climate not fully understood☜The Earths climate is a dynamic system in constant flux and dependent upon many variables. Its always changing in ways we barely understand and which are difficult to predict. In this context, the narrative of dangerous anthropogenic disruption remains a hypothesis open to challenge.☜98CE71
□
Earth's climate influenced significantly by other factors
Earth's climate influenced significantly by other factors☜Other (non-human factors) exert a significant influence on the Earths climate making it difficult to draw any firm conclusions about the significance of antropogenic effects.☜98CE71
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Earth has been warmer in recent past prior to human impact
Earth has been warmer in recent past prior to human impact☜The Earth was warmer in the recent past – i.e. prior to any anthropogenic forcing – than it is now.☜98CE71
□
Increase in CO2 has always followed not led rises in temperature
Increase in CO2 has always followed not led rises in temperature☜Ice-cores dating back nearly one million years show a pattern of temperature and CO2 rise at roughly 100,000-year intervals. But the CO2 rise has always come after the temperature rise, not before, presumably as warmer temperatures have liberated the gas from oceans.☜98CE71
□
Water vapour impact far outweighs impact of CO2
Water vapour impact far outweighs impact of CO2☜Water vapour is the most significant greenhouse gas, accounting for around 98% of the Earths natural greenhouse warming effect. So changes in carbon dioxide or methane concentrations will have a relatively small impact.☜98CE71
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No warming observed since 1998
No warming observed since 1998☜Measurements since 1998 via satellites and balloon radiosondes show no warming.☜98CE71
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Case for low CO2 effect on climate totally lacks supporting evidence
Case for low CO2 effect on climate totally lacks supporting evidence☜It is indisputable physical fact that the CO2 we have released will increase earth temps by~1*C. Climate Sensitivity (CS) means that 1*C will be increased to ~3*C by action on feedbacks like water vapour and albedo (reflectivity). Sceptics have been totally unable to establish a case for low CS.☜EF597B
□
Graph of this discussion
Graph of this discussion☜Click this to see the whole debate, excluding comments, in graphical form☜dcdcdc
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Rob Baines
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Entry date (GMT):
11/18/2009 11:14:00 PM
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11/18/2009 11:14:00 PM
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