IPCC report tended to use linear models

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Anthropogenic Climate Change
Responding to climate change?
Immediate action required
Climate impact will be much worse, sooner than most people think
IPCC 2007 report was a conservative, best-case analysis
IPCC report tended to use linear models
Why did the IPCC favour linear models?
IPCC Models don't consider ice sheet collapse (for example)
IPCC models don't include Amazon die-off feedback loop
IPCC models don't include impact of methane clathrates collapse
IPCC models don't include Ocean CO2 absorption feedback loops
IPCC models don't include Permafrost collapse feedback loop
Linear models neglect significant non-linear feedback loops
World doesn't change in a linear fashion
Data in IPCC reports is generally stale by time of publication
IPCC consensus process tends eliminate more dramatic findings
Current predications suggest increase of 6ºC plus by 2100
IPCC predicts global average temperature increase of 2º–5ºC by 2100
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