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Tackling obesity in the UK
Tackling obesity in the UK☜With concern growing that the Foresight analysis—that 50% of the UK population could be obese by 2050, at an annual cost to the nation of around £50 billion per year [2]—substantially underestimates the scale of the unfolding obesity crisis, the College of Contemporary Health is working with the wider policy community to develop a whole systems map of the obesity crisis and the potential responses.☜F1CEB7
⌃
Impacts of obesity
Impacts of obesity☜Obesity presents a significant threat to the health of the UK population and a significant drain on the nations financial resources. 24.9% of adults in England are obese—with a body mass index of over 30—62% of adults are either overweight or obese (with a BMI of over 25), and 32% of 10–11-year-olds are overweight or obese. The annual cost of obesity to the UK is estimated to be £27bn–£46bn [1], [2]; although international comparisons suggest that the true cost could be significantly higher.☜DE7179
⌃
A potentially unsustainable financial burden on the health system
A potentially unsustainable financial burden on the health system☜The range of obesitys impacts makes accurate economic analysis challenging; however, a November 2014 study from the McKinsey Global Institute placed the annual economic impact on the UK at around $73bn (£46bn). Earlier analysis and modelling for the 2007 Foresight Report suggested a cost to the NHS of around £4.2bn annually to treat people with health problems related to elevated BMI and a total wider cost to the economy of around £15.8bn (rising to £27bn by 2015 and £49.9bn by 2050).☜DE7179
⌃
What costs should be included in the financial analysis?
What costs should be included in the financial analysis?☜What cost factors should be included in the assessment of the overall financial impact of obesity on the UK economy?☜FFB597
⌃
How to estimate the costs?
How to estimate the costs?☜What methods can be used to estimate the financial costs of obesity?☜FFB597
⌃
Prevalence-based estimations
Prevalence-based estimations☜Identify the prevalence of diseases incurred by obese individuals, the proportion of these diseases attributable to obesity (population attributable risk, or PAR), and their associated costs (direct costs attributable to obesity = PAR x average medical expenditure among all cases).☜59C6EF
■
Data is readily available
Data is readily available☜☜98CE71
□
Results offer a snapshot of the annual cost of obesity
Results offer a snapshot of the annual cost of obesity☜☜98CE71
□
Risk of double counting costs
Risk of double counting costs☜The overlap between different medical conditions introduce the risk of double counting costs.☜EF597B
□
Risk of omitting emerging costs from new obesity-related diseases
Risk of omitting emerging costs from new obesity-related diseases☜☜EF597B
□
Graph of this discussion
Graph of this discussion☜Click this to see the whole debate, excluding comments, in graphical form☜dcdcdc
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David Price
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