comments
Respond
Comment on the article
Add a citation
Reply with an article
Start a new topic
Edit
Edit article
Delete article
Share
Invite
Link
Embed
Social media
Avatar
View
Graph
Explorer
Focus
Down
Load 1 level
Load 2 levels
Load 3 levels
Load 4 levels
Load all levels
All
Dagre
Focus
Down
Load 1 level
Load 2 levels
Load 3 levels
Load 4 level
Load all levels
All
Tree
SpaceTree
Focus
Expanding
Load 1 level
Load 2 levels
Load 3 levels
Down
All
Down
Radial
Focus
Expanding
Load 1 level
Load 2 levels
Load 3 levels
Down
All
Down
Box
Focus
Expanding
Down
Up
All
Down
Article ✓
Outline
Document
Down
All
Page
Canvas
Time
Timeline
Calendar
Updates
Subscribe to updates
Get updates
Past 24 hours
Past week
Past month
Past year
Pause updates
Contact us
Medium-term trajectories already determined
The trajectories for the three key systemic dimensions are broadly determined to 2030 or so already.
RELATED ARTICLES
Explain
⌅
Planet Under Pressure
Planet Under Pressure☜DebateGraph and the Planet Under Pressure scientists are collaborating to distill the main arguments, evidence, risks and policy options facing humanity in a dynamic knowledge map to help visualise and inform global policy dialogue and deliberation.☜F1CEB7
⌃
1. State of the Planet
1. State of the Planet☜Key observations about the State of the Planet; highlighting aspects of the emerging crisis.☜FFB597
■
Medium-term trajectories already determined
Medium-term trajectories already determined☜The trajectories for the three key systemic dimensions are broadly determined to 2030 or so already.☜59C6EF
↳
Climate change
Climate change☜Because of the delays in the climate system, the greenhouse gases that are up there now are going to determine the climate for about 15-20 years ahead – even whatever happens in terms of the reduction of greenhouse gases, or indeed their expansion.☜9FDEF6
↳
Population Growth
Population Growth☜We are going to reach a further billion people by 2025. We also know the distribution of that billion — about 500 million in Africa 500, about 500 million in Asia. Changes in fertility will not affect it much.☜9FDEF6
↳
Urbanization
Urbanization☜Unless development patterns change, by 2030 humanity’s urban footprint will occupy an additional 1.5 million square kilometres - comparable to the combined territories of France, Germany and Spain—with the equivalent of a city of 1 million needed weekly across the next 38 years.☜9FDEF6
□
Some drivers appear to be slowing or changing
Some drivers appear to be slowing or changing☜☜59C6EF
□
Breaching key thresholds and boundaries
Breaching key thresholds and boundaries☜The Earth is a complex interconnected system. Complex systems can confer remarkable stability, but are susceptible to abrupt and rapid changes; seemingly trivial changes in conditions can lead to unexpectedly swift and profound results.☜59C6EF
□
Chances of reaching 2°C goal unlikely
Chances of reaching 2°C goal unlikely☜CO2 emissions from fossil fuel burning and cement production increased by 3 % in 2011, with a total of 34.7 billion tonnes of CO2 emitted to the atmosphere. These emissions were the highest in human history and 54 percent higher than in 1990 - the Kyoto Protocol reference year ☜59C6EF
□
Entering the Anthropocene
Entering the Anthropocene☜Our species’ recorded history has taken place in the geological period called the Holocene---the brief interval stretching back 10,000 years---but a growing number of scientists believe that our collective actions have brought us into a new geological epoch that needs a new name: the Anthropocene.☜59C6EF
□
Ocean faces multiple, interconnected threats
Ocean faces multiple, interconnected threats☜The ocean faces a multitude of interconnected threats that is unprecedented in modern history. ☜59C6EF
□
Poverty is declining – inequality is increasing
Poverty is declining – inequality is increasing☜Many people still struggle to meet basic needs and aspire to increase consumption.☜59C6EF
□
Graph of this discussion
Graph of this discussion☜Click this to see the whole debate, excluding comments, in graphical form☜dcdcdc
Enter the title of your article
Enter a short (max 500 characters) summation of your article
Click the button to enter task scheduling information
Open
Enter the main body of your article
Prefer more work space? Try the
big editor
Enter task details
Message text
Select assignee(s)
Due date (click calendar)
RadDatePicker
RadDatePicker
Open the calendar popup.
Calendar
Title and navigation
Title and navigation
<<
<
November 2024
>
<<
November 2024
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
44
27
28
29
30
31
1
2
45
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
46
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
47
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
48
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
49
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Reminder
No reminder
1 day before due
2 days before due
3 days before due
1 week before due
Ready to post
Copy to text
Enter
Cancel
Task assignment(s) have been emailed and cannot now be altered
Lock
Cancel
Save
Comment graphing options
Choose comments:
Comment only
Whole thread
All comments
Choose location:
To a new map
To this map
New map options
Select map ontology
Options
Standard (default) ontology
College debate ontology
Hypothesis ontology
Influence diagram ontology
Story ontology
Graph to private map
Cancel
Proceed
+Comments (
0
)
- Comments
Add a comment
Newest first
Oldest first
Show threads
+Citations (
1
)
- Citations
Add new citation
List by:
Citerank
Map
+About
- About
Entered by:-
David Price
NodeID:
#146948
Node type:
Position
Entry date (GMT):
4/1/2012 1:08:00 PM
Last edit date (GMT):
5/26/2012 7:38:00 PM
Show other editors
Incoming cross-relations:
0
Outgoing cross-relations:
0
Average rating:
0
by
0
users
Enter comment
Select article text to quote
Cancel
Enter
welcome text
First name
Last name
Email
Skip
Join
x
Select file to upload