|
|
Alternative Scenarios for Health & Health Care in 2032
Four Scenarios
- Slow Reform, Better Health
- Health If You Can Get It
- Big Data, Big Health Gains
- The New Ethics of Health
What will health and health care look like in the year 2032? We'll consider four alternative futures: one in the Zone of Conventional Expectation; one in the Zone of Growing Desperation; and two in the Zone of High Aspiration.
Open Scenarios >>
|
Scenario 1: Slow Reform, Better Health
Scenario 1 describes the expectable future of health and health care in the U.S. out to the year 2032 – i.e. the “zone of conventional expectation,” reflecting the extrapolation of known trends, the expectable future.
Open Scenario 1 >> Scenario 2: Health If You Can Get It
Scenario 2 describes a “zone of growing desperation” – involving a set of plausible health challenges.
Open Scenario 2 >> Scenario 3: Big Data, Big Health Gains
Scenario 3 is the first of two scenarios in the “zone of high aspiration” in which a critical mass of stakeholders gathers to pursue visionary strategies and achieves surprising success.
Open Scenario 3 >> Scenario 4: The New Ethics of Health
Scenario 4 is the second of the two scenarios in the “zone of high aspiration” in which a critical mass of stakeholders gathers to pursue visionary strategies and achieves surprising success.
Open Scenario 4 >>
|